Has Lewis blown his chances?

A lot is being said about Lewis' chances of winning the championship this season. A few races ago he was being touted as being one of the favourites to win this year's title. However a lot has changed over the last few races. Let's look at the last 5 races to try and get a feel of why people have changed their minds so drastically.

Germany - Qualified 6th - Race Result 4th

Hungary - Qualified 5th - Race Result - DNF (Gearbox)

Belgium - Qualified 2nd - Race Result 1st

Italy - Qualified 5th - Race Result DNF (incident with Massa)

Singapore - Qualified 3rd - Race Result DNF (incident with Webber)

So out of a possible 125 points he has walked away with 37. Not a great conversion rate I think you'll agree. So what is going wrong with him in the second half of the season? Is he fighting too hard on track or has he become a little too laid back and not thinking about what he is doing? Or is it that he has simply had a run of bad luck?  

I personally think it is a mix between him making desperate moves and also a bit of bad luck. When it goes bad for Lewis it goes really bad. He needs to stop making such desperate overtaking moves. Lewis has made some great overtaking moves in the past and he is the latest of the late brakers. He takes chances when others won't and unfortunately they don't always work out for him, as the last 2 races have shown. He seems to have lost a certain 'polish' that he has shown in previous seasons.

Is this a knock on effect of not having his dad and Ron by his side? It is interesting to note that Ron is attending more races this season. Could this be a McLaren tactic? Lewis has no manager at the moment and has made some questionable decisions both on and off the track. Could Ron being present be helping Lewis to reign in his behaviour and make him think about what he is doing more? Who knows.

What is certain is that Lewis needs to convert his qualifying results into race results and points. 1 more DNF and his chances will be over this season and McLaren will have no choice but to back Button for the title. He is down but not out, yet.